Weekly Special | July 28, 2025

Supply Meets Demand—What’s Next

Affordability challenges have trimmed demand, and that weaker demand—despite a growing supply of listings—is pushing the market toward balance.

The market reaches balance when listing supply matches buyer demand at prevailing prices, keeping home prices steady and negotiations even.

In the past, analysts treated six months of inventory as the hallmark of a balanced housing market. However, digital marketing and quicker online searches have shortened marketing times, so true balance likely sits closer to four months of supply.

The graph’s gold band marks the range between six and four months of supply.

For July, we’re looking at 5.2 months of supply (though the non-seasonal value is 4.2 months.

Buyers now see more listings that linger a little longer, and sellers recognize they must price sharply to capture interest. Overall, the market feels more “normal,” even though monthly sales remain below historical norms.

The market has been picking up, and there is a very good chance that Tallahassee will record more home sales in 2025 than it did in 2024.

Warning: Your area and price range still rule the day. Real estate remains hyper‑local, so the graph’s trend lines may not mirror your current home or your target purchase. Partner with a seasoned, informed agent who tailors strategies for the conditions you will face.

I put AI to work this week, asking ChatGPT to forecast the housing market through 2030. It went into the analysis with vigor and depth, I recommend you see what it had to say!

The original one-page Weekly Special PDF is still available.