The Surprising Impact Of COVID-19 On The Luxury Homes Market

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If you are selling your luxury home in the next 3-6 months, you naturally may be asking yourself if this is a good time to sell due to COVID-19If you are selling your luxury home in the next 3-6 months, you naturally may be asking yourself if this is a good time to sell due to COVID-19.

This is one of the most common questions I’m getting from friends and clients right now. If you’re going to sell, you obviously want to sell for every dollar you can get. So is it possible to sell a luxury home in Tallahassee for top dollar right now?

Luxury Homes For Sale In Tallahassee

Luxury Homes $750K Plus In Tallahassee

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VIDEO: Luxury Homes Market Report July 2020

What A Luxury Home Is In Tallahassee

Luxury is in the eye of the beholder, but I think it is safe to say that using the sales price of the top 1% of homes sold can be an effective method of defining “luxury.”

In some markets, that might be a sales price that exceeds $10M, but no so in Tallahassee. The top 1% of our sales this year have started with a sales price of $750K. Thus, our report will focus on homes sold for $750,000 or more.

Supply And Demand For Luxury Homes In Tallahassee

A quick study of the supply and demand dynamic for luxury homes in Tallahassee shows us that buyers still control this market. Unlike the lower 95% of the market, luxury homes are still mired in a glut of homes and a strong buyer’s market.

Tallahassee Luxury Homes Supply And Demand July 2020

The graph above shows the cumulative months of supply of homes starting at $750K. The current number of luxury homes for sale are plotted in red, while the number of luxury homes sold over the previous 12 months are each shown in green.

Starting from left to right, the first pair measure 8.2 months of supply for homes priced from $750K to $800K. The second pair measures from $750K to $850K, and so on. When we get to the final pair, we see homes priced from $750K to the highest-priced home on the market returns a relative supply of homes of more than 9 months.

As a reminder, 6.0 months of supply is considered market equilibrium (a balanced market where neither sellers nor buyers have an advantage). While still grossly over-supplied, the luxury homes market has seen supply reduced significantly over the past three years.

Home Sales Distribution By Price In Tallahassee

To put things into perspective, I plotted the number of homes sold through July each of the past three years, sorted by price.

Home Sales Distribution By Price In Tallahassee

By producing this graph, it shows just how small that “Top 1%” group of homes really is when compared to the entire field of homes that have sold. 

Luxury Home Sales Distribution By Price In Tallahassee

The final graph has been reduced to only include homes priced above $750K. Again, it shows the number of homes sold through July each of the past three years, sorted by price.

Luxury Home Sales Distribution By Price In Tallahassee

This is proof positive that 2020 ranks first for luxury home sales over the past three years. In fact, 2018 was a record-setting year and 2019 was very strong for luxury home sales, yet through July, we are seeing even more sales in 2020.

If the COVID-19 pandemic has had an impact on luxury home sales, it has not been strong enough to stop current sales from setting records. This should be very exciting news if you are thinking about selling a luxury home in Tallahassee.

Advice For Luxury Home Sellers In Tallahassee

If you are selling your luxury home in the next 3-6 months, you need to understand a few things about the market.

First, the current demand for luxury homes is higher than at any time in the past thirty years. There are a lot of buyers for your home today.

Second, the pandemic does not appear to have slowed high-end sales at all, considering we are seeing record-breaking results right now.

Third, the overall market has seen a reluctance of sellers to enter the market. If this is the case for homes priced over $750K, then that means the market right now is working in your favor.

Imagine what the luxury homes market will look like when ALL sellers decide it is safe to return to the market? The current supply of luxury homes is already over-supplied, so a rush to market by currently-waiting luxury homeowners could very well flood the market with homes priced above $750K.

Right now, there are fewer options for buyers and less competition for you. Sure, the market is a buyer’s market, but it will be even more so when all sellers return to the market. If you know you want to sell fairly soon, give me a call and let me show you how to prepare to get your home sold fast (and for top dollar) before the rest of the sellers arrive.

Luxury Home Sales In Tallahassee

The following table includes all homes sold in Tallahassee for $750K or more, going back to 1991. You can sort the table by any column heading for more scrutiny of the results.

High End Home Sales In Tallahassee, Florida

NeighborhoodAddressPricePrice / SQFClosing DateYear BuiltSQF
Bobbin Brook998 Rosebay Court$950,000$2612026-10-0919863,633
Lake Tom John Estates5050 Velda Dairy Rd$797,000$2592026-10-0119793,072
Centerville Conservation6311 Bird Dog Pt$1,100,000$3492026-10-0120143,151
Northwood6375 Thomasville Rd$854,000$1892026-09-3019814,529
Golden Eagle Plantation8503 Congressional Dr$1,700,000$2442026-09-2820016,960
Golden Eagle Plantation2998 Golden Eagle Dr E$1,375,000$2192026-09-2519956,280
Circle J Acres6754 Circle J Dr$865,000$2262026-09-2519703,820
Luna Manor10056 Neamathla Trl$789,300$2832026-09-1619982,788
Harris Park1755 Tarpon Dr$1,375,000$2642026-09-1419915,205
Vieux Carre3129 Rue Royale$790,000$2782026-09-0420032,845
Golden Eagle Plantation2868 Royal Isle Dr$852,000$2872026-08-3120032,968
None6981 Duck Cove Rd$1,200,000$3922026-08-3119843,062
None7083 Grenville Rd$2,925,000$4952026-08-3120225,914
Villa Mitchell1402 George Calvin Bess Jr Way$830,0002026-08-31
Golden Eagle Plantation8836 Winged Foot Dr$1,325,000$3232026-08-2819954,100
Ox Bottom Manor6394 Belgrand Dr$815,000$2402026-08-2819963,389
Rosehill278 Rosehill Dr E$1,450,000$3632026-08-2419953,992
Golden Eagle Plantation8983 Winged Foot Dr$1,125,000$2672026-08-2019894,213
None10080 Mahan Dr$899,000$4562026-08-1420221,972
Golden Eagle Plantation2520 Double Eagle Ct$795,000$2342026-08-1420023,400
Loma Woods6402 Loma Farm Way$850,000$2982026-08-1120212,852
Ox Bow7047 Ox Bow Rd$975,000$2042026-08-1020134,787
None2217 Thomasville Rd$1,865,000$4342026-08-0620164,301
Baker Place6937 Grenville Rd$970,000$2192026-08-0520024,434
Northwood3752 Tom John Ln$900,000$2312026-08-0519803,890
Golden Eagle Plantation9270 Shoal Creek Dr$975,000$3232026-08-0420163,023
Golden Eagle Plantation8991 Winged Foot Dr$1,050,000$2042026-08-0419875,135
Midyette Plantation5059 Centennial Oak Cir$750,000$2272026-08-0319963,306
Bobbin Brook3908 Bobbin Brook Cir$1,150,000$1472026-07-3119937,805
Lake Mcbride7042 Duck Cove Rd$880,000$2992026-07-3119822,946
None7877 Jared Way$2,250,000$4712026-07-3120244,777
Oak Grove Plantation125 Evening Shadow Ct$1,950,000$2982026-07-2920196,553
Ox Bottom Manor6274 Hines Hill Cir$750,000$2812026-07-2819932,668
None8014 Susan Bradford Ln$2,875,000$4822026-07-2720225,969
Hermitage1305 Rachel Ln W$1,150,000$3412026-07-2020033,377
Waverly Hills1022 Lothian Dr$1,350,000$3562026-07-1719683,797
Baker Place5990 Colonel Scott Dr$925,000$3122026-07-1720002,965
Middlewood2007 Middlewood Dr$825,000$2502026-07-1619893,300
Canopy3860 Ardmore Ln$1,055,000$3112026-07-1420233,389
Wellington Park5351 Pembridge Pl$1,147,500$2472026-07-1419954,653
Baker Place5992 Hardy Croom Ct$977,500$2742026-07-0920033,571
Coventry Banks1119 Bannerman Rd$825,000$2572026-07-0820033,213
Golden Eagle Plantation8179 Glenmore Dr$822,000$2772026-07-0119972,972
Chemonie Crossing9519 Starhawk Dr$999,000$1682026-07-0120035,945
Vieux Carre3125 Rue Royale$780,000$2922026-06-3020032,673
Meridian Heights537 Williams St$1,010,000$2812026-06-3020163,595
Golden Eagle Plantation2130 Golden Eagle Dr W$1,059,000$2762026-06-3019993,841
Southwood3592 Mossy Creek Ln$1,525,000$2332026-06-3020046,550
Golden Eagle Plantation9699 Dancing Rabbit Way$841,000$2752026-06-2920053,054
Golden Eagle Plantation3001 Golden Eagle Dr E$1,039,000$2272026-06-2920034,576
None8626 Proctor Rd$1,085,000$3542026-06-2920243,063
Hillcrest Prop1743 Armistead Pl$1,225,000$2862026-06-2619774,282
North Addition308 Park Ave E$2,025,000$4762026-06-2619804,256
Golden Eagle Plantation9035 Winged Foot Dr$800,000$2142026-06-2519883,744
Golden Eagle Plantation3225 Pablo Creek Way$815,000$2472026-06-2220053,306
Cedar Lane Woods3505 Cedar Lane Dr$825,000$2492026-06-1819783,315
None8121 Proctor Rd$2,049,000$5382026-06-1820233,807
Northwood5453 Pembridge Pl$2,375,000$5892026-06-1720244,031
Betton Woods2541 Noble Ct$756,000$2802026-06-1519832,696
Summerbrooke610 Summerbrooke Dr$800,000$2732026-06-1219942,932
Killearn Acres5135 Pimlico Dr$760,000$2312026-06-0920003,288
Bannerman Commons3012 Gentilly St$762,500$2862026-06-0520222,667
Golden Eagle Plantation2025 Herb Ct$800,000$2272026-06-0419973,519
Waverly Hills1110 Lothian Dr$802,500$2142026-06-0319683,746
Lake Jackson Property5950 Miller Landing Cv$1,500,000$2862026-06-0319815,242
Golden Eagle Plantation8978 Winged Foot Dr$775,000$2382026-06-0120023,250
Summerbrooke7031 Heritage Ridge Rd$970,000$2222026-06-0120024,364
Lake Jackson Farms1204 Firethorn Ln Bldg 1$789,000$2522026-06-0119643,129
Maple Ridge3038 Four Oaks Blvd$800,000$2962026-06-0120212,700
Whitfield Plantation3337 Charleston Rd$849,000$2422026-05-2919973,513
None3418 Lakeshore Dr$1,368,200$2232026-05-2919526,133
Southwood3635 Mossy Creek Ln$1,295,000$3332026-05-2220053,892
Loma Woods3714 Loma Farm Rd$760,000$2062026-05-2020053,696
Ivanhoe Woods On Lake Hall2100 Thirlestane Rd$2,950,000$6182026-05-1519944,777
Hawks Nest712 Forest Lair$905,000$3022026-05-1519892,993
None1235 Live Oak Plantation Rd$2,150,000$5322026-05-1519854,040
Ox Bow7099 Ox Bow Rd$1,150,000$3142026-05-1119963,661
Lake Mary6452 Mary Lake Ct$765,000$1612026-05-0720024,747
Rosehill214 Rosehill Ln$1,625,000$4312026-05-0619893,769
None3409 Lakeshore Dr$1,080,000$3432026-05-0619673,149
Wellington Park5335 Pembridge Pl$793,000$2882026-04-3019912,750
Southwood4548 Grove Park Dr$1,000,000$3392026-04-3020082,951
Buckhead4780 Buckhead Ct$775,000$1552026-04-2920014,990
Southwood4640 Grove Park Dr$1,295,000$2762026-04-2920044,700
Golden Eagle Plantation3231 Pablo Creek Way$775,000$2652026-04-2220152,924
Betton Woods2510 Armistead Rd$789,000$2332026-04-2019803,380
Golden Eagle Plantation3005 Golden Eagle Dr E$899,000$2772026-04-2019973,248
Bobbin Trace3935 Old Mill Run$2,150,000$3682026-04-1519995,836
Woodbrook511 River Pond Ct$1,625,000$4162026-04-1520173,903
Franklin Park717 E Tennessee St$830,000$2022026-04-1519394,102
Summerbrooke7628 Preservation Rd$890,000$2362026-04-1519953,772
Ox Bow8039 Evening Star Ln$1,025,000$2632026-04-0919883,894
Highgrove4935 Arden Forest Way$837,500$1782026-04-0919894,700
Bobbin Trace3871 W Millers Bridge Rd$1,560,000$4072026-04-0319983,832
None195 Coe Landing Rd$775,000$2752026-04-0220202,817
Golden Eagle Plantation3006 Golden Eagle Dr E$1,175,000$2162026-04-0120075,428
Golden Eagle Plantation9192 Shoal Creek Dr$839,000$3122026-03-3020142,689
Golden Eagle Plantation8555 Congressional Dr$750,000$2452026-03-2619923,063
Golden Eagle Plantation2142 Golden Eagle Dr W$920,000$2342026-03-2619943,939
Luna Plantation10881 Luna Point Rd$900,000$3532026-03-2620012,551

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