Bull Run Housing Report March 2015

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Located on the NE side of Tallahassee just west of Thomasville Road, Bull Run features newer three and four bedroom homes in a highly sought-after location.

Bull Run is one of Tallahassee’s “boom neighborhoods,” with all homes built from 2004 through present, so we anticipate that this neighborhood will have issues with pent-up supply in the coming years.

With most of the families in this demographic moving every 10 years or so, most will hit natural move times on a similar schedule, yet all will be dealing with issues of equity (or lack thereof) until values move much higher. Unfortunately, new homes are being built below the prices that many current occupants paid, so we need values to rise to help those who will be needing to sell soon.

In this report, we will look at prices, values, and sizes of homes in Bull Run, as well as show current listings in the Tallahassee MLS and all closed home sales going back to 2005.

Bull Run Home Prices


Average home prices rose 6% in 2014 versus 2013, but have fallen 4% thus far in 2015. Prices still sit well below the peak of the market prices established in 2007.For each of the real estate graphs found in this report, you will find the number of closed home sales for each year (blue columns, measured on the left vertical axis), and an important real estate statistic shown in red (measured on the right vertical axis. It is important to note that sales are through December for all previous years, but through mid March in 2015.

Distressed sales are are occurring at a rate far lower than other neighborhoods in Tallahassee are seeing, mostly due to the fact that half the sales are new home construction. The average recorded sales price is $299,183 for Bull Run thus far in 2015 (four of the eight sales this year were newly built homes).

Average Home Price

Home sales activity last year was record setting as there were 68 closed home sales in Bull Run. Thus far in 2015 there have been 8 closed home sales.

Bull Run Home Values

Average home values in Bull Run have risen 10% since last year, the third year in a row to see appreciation since the low set back in 2012.

Average Home Value

Through mid-March, the average value of a home sold in Bull Run has been $156 per square foot. This is up 10% over last year and 14% above the bottom reached in 2012, which is still down about 9% from the market high set back in 2007.

With such a high proportion of these being new construction, we know that the average is skewed towards new homes. This means that many homeowners who have purchased or refinanced in the past 10 years should expect lower prices and values, and they likely have little or negative equity in their homes.

Where is the Tallahassee market headed?

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Bull Run Home Sizes

The average home size sold in Bull Run typically falls in a range of 2,000 to 2,300 square feet, and this year buyers have been selecting the smaller homes.

Average Home Size

The 8 sales thus far in 2015 have averaged 1,915 square feet, but I would expect it to rise as more of the older homes are sold.

Homes For Sale In Bull Run

The following list of homes are the most recent listings in Bull Run.

Bull Run

Bull Run

7 Properties
2581 Manassas Way
Tallahassee, FL, 32312
Beds3Baths2MLS#406737
2554 Lagrange Trail
Tallahassee, FL, 32312
Beds3Baths2MLS#406826
5833 Dahlgren Trail
Tallahassee, FL, 32312
Beds3Baths2MLS#406547
2640 MANASSAS Way
Tallahassee, FL, 32312
Beds4Baths2MLS#405693
2624 MANASSAS Way
Tallahassee, FL, 32312
Beds4Baths2MLS#404600
2544 CARTHAGE Lane
Tallahassee, FL, 32312
Beds4Baths3MLS#405738
5718 Roanoke Trail
Tallahassee, FL, 32312
Beds4Baths4MLS#405287

Bull Run Home Sales

The following list shows home sales going back to 2005 in Bull Run.

Home Sales in Bull Run

AddressPricePrice / SQFClosing DateYear BuiltSQFSale Type
2616 Manassas Way$389,000$2192026-08-2120131,773Resale
5625 Ringold Ln$445,500$2192026-07-2020112,030Resale
5705 Groveton Ct$635,000$2492026-07-1520162,555Resale
5637 Ringold Ln$425,000$2322026-06-2320121,828Resale
2617 Antietam Trl$640,000$2622026-06-1820132,439Resale
2530 Manassas Way$365,000$2152026-06-1620101,701Resale
2575 Ulysses Rd$580,000$2212026-06-0220072,627Resale
5716 Sumter Hill Ln$565,000$2382026-05-2720152,375Resale
2581 Ulysses Rd$525,000$2482026-05-2720122,114Resale
2676 Breton Ridge Dr$610,000$2512026-05-1320182,431Resale
2605 Antietam Trl$685,000$2042026-05-0120063,350Resale
5620 Tecumseh Dr$440,000$1942026-04-3020062,270Resale
2545 Carthage Ln$575,000$2252026-04-2720092,553Resale
5867 Dahlgren Trl$532,000$2432026-04-1720142,188Resale
2664 Breton Ridge Dr$558,000$2482026-04-0720122,248Resale
2503 Ulysses Rd$749,000$2882026-03-3120252,602New
2603 Opequon Bnd$502,500$2412026-01-0920092,087Resale
2596 Manassas Way$443,000$2372025-12-1220131,873Resale
2541 Lagrange Trl$486,000$2102025-11-0620082,318Resale
5731 Farnsworth Dr$845,000$2702025-10-2720163,135Resale
2642 Opequon Bnd$515,000$2492025-10-2320132,067Resale
2621 Farragut Way$557,000$2462025-10-1420142,260Resale
5672 Burnside Cir$500,000$2102025-10-0920062,381Resale
2510 Manassas Way$465,000$2442025-09-1020091,904Resale
2601 Ulysses Rd$425,000$2042025-09-0220062,088Resale
2542 Manassas Way$450,000$2382025-08-2720091,891Resale
2617 Manassas Way$465,000$2242025-08-2620112,072Resale
2501 Ulysses Rd$819,900$2882025-08-0820252,842New
2688 Breton Ridge Dr$645,000$2462025-07-0220062,626Resale
2624 Manassas Way$478,000$2252025-06-2020132,121Resale
2547 Bennits Mill Way$535,000$2252025-06-1320092,376Resale
2580 Ulysses Rd$500,000$2322025-06-0420112,155Resale
2645 Antietam Trl$660,000$2172025-05-2920143,048Resale
5801 Dahlgren Trl$563,000$2552025-03-3120142,212Resale
2565 Manassas Way$435,000$2352025-03-2420081,848Resale
5750 Farnsworth Dr$709,900$2692025-03-1320142,637Resale
5659 Tecumseh Dr$460,000$2032025-02-1420062,270Resale
5624 Tecumseh Dr$500,000$2112025-02-0620062,373Resale
2586 Ulysses Rd$437,000$2392025-02-0520111,828Resale
2548 Halleck Ln$442,500$2342024-12-1820081,888Resale
2607 Opequon Bnd$460,000$2442024-11-2220121,882Resale
2513 Ulysses Rd$505,000$2152024-11-1520082,345Resale
2594 Halleck Ln$445,000$2502024-11-1220101,782Resale
5663 Tecumseh Dr$441,500$2252024-09-1220061,963Resale
5718 Roanoke Trl$515,000$2192024-08-1920052,348Resale
2542 Bennits Mill Way$520,000$2432024-08-0920112,138Resale
5700 Sumter Hill Ln$520,000$2222024-08-0820182,346Resale
2607 Opequon Bnd$450,000$2392024-07-3120121,882Resale
2598 Farragut Way$442,000$2402024-07-1620121,840Resale
2622 Farragut Way$450,000$2392024-06-1720131,882Resale
2533 Lagrange Trl$495,000$2392024-05-1020102,074Resale
5809 Dahlgren Trl$619,000$2242024-05-0220162,769Resale
5640 Tecumseh Dr$440,000$2252024-04-3020061,959Resale
2605 Farragut Way$430,000$2532024-04-1920111,701Resale
2508 Carthage Ln$508,400$2292024-04-1220132,218Resale
2593 Ulysses Rd$435,000$2292024-04-0420061,899Resale
2626 Opequon Bnd$505,000$2462024-03-1420132,055Resale
2569 Ulysses Rd$490,000$2332024-02-2620122,105Resale
2526 Bennits Mill Way$510,000$2202024-01-2220092,322Resale
2515 Dahlgren Ct$436,500$2372023-12-2920141,842Resale
2549 Ulysses Rd$441,000$2352023-12-2020131,874Resale
2583 Ulysses Rd$488,000$2352023-11-0620102,074Resale
2567 Carthage Ln$539,500$2432023-11-0320122,216Resale
5655 Tecumseh Dr$476,500$2062023-10-3120062,316Resale
2575 Manassas Way$486,000$2302023-08-2320082,117Resale
5624 Tecumseh Dr$465,000$1962023-08-1720062,373Resale
2583 Halleck Ln$453,000$2252023-07-2720122,017Resale
2504 Ulysses Rd$470,000$2242023-06-3020102,094Resale
5774 Farnsworth Dr$662,500$2432023-06-2320172,725Resale
2612 Antietam Trl$597,300$2182023-05-3020052,737Resale
2688 Breton Ridge Dr$610,000$2322023-04-1120062,626Resale
5705 Groveton Ct$597,000$2342023-04-0320162,555Resale
2612 Manassas Way$475,000$2242023-03-3120132,121Resale
2594 Farragut Way$460,000$2282023-03-3120122,017Resale
5664 Burnside Cir$489,900$2322023-03-2720072,113Resale
5868 Dahlgren Trl$500,000$2182023-01-2620152,289Resale
2546 Manassas Way$425,000$2322023-01-1020091,831Resale
2574 Halleck Ln$463,800$2302022-11-2820102,016Resale
5833 Dahlgren Trail$450,000$2402022-11-2820161,878Resale
2500 Ulysses Rd$560,000$2152022-11-1520152,605Resale
5708 Sumter Hill Ln$365,000$1942022-10-2820121,882Resale
2533 Lagrange Trl$460,000$2222022-10-0620102,074Resale
2505 Spotsylvania Ct$440,000$2352022-10-0320161,871Resale
5654 Burnside Cir$460,000$2002022-09-2120062,301Resale
5659 Tecumseh Dr$425,000$1872022-08-3120062,270Resale
5655 Tecumseh Dr$445,000$1922022-08-0820062,316Resale
5721 Roanoke Trl$639,900$2522022-07-2920062,535Resale
2547 Bennits Mill Way$495,500$2092022-07-0820092,376Resale
2543 Halleck Ln$447,000$2462022-06-2320081,814Resale
5653 Burnside Cir$515,000$2442022-06-0820062,113Resale
2527 Dahlgren Ct$615,000$2262022-05-3120152,720Resale
5726 Roanoke Trl$632,900$2272022-05-2620052,784Resale
2586 Halleck Ln$386,000$2292022-05-1020091,685Resale
5686 Burnside Cir$475,000$2072022-04-2920072,293Resale
5641 Ringold Ln$456,000$2202022-04-2720112,074Resale
2545 Ulysses Rd$445,500$2322022-04-1820131,923Resale
2624 Manassas Way$450,000$2122022-04-1520132,121Resale
5698 Burnside Cir$434,900$2112022-03-2120072,058Resale
2628 Manassas Way$449,500$2392022-03-1820131,882Resale
2619 Opequon Bnd$442,500$2402022-03-1620121,840Resale

I hope you enjoyed our March 2015 update on home sales in Bull Run, please feel free to drop me a note if you have questions not covered in this report.

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