Weekly Special | January 22, 2024

50-Year Record In New Construction

If there has been one message I have been spreading more than any other, it’s that “we need more homes!”

Bar chart of multi-family building permits in Tallahassee and Leon County from 1970 to 2023 with a ten-year average, and a table of decade averages from 1,210 in the 1970s to 972 in the 2020s.

I’ve just received the annual permits data from Ed Young, Jr. (Tallahassee-Leon County Planning Department) and it appears as if somebody might be listening.

Multi-family building permits in 2023 posted the highest number since 1974 (fifty years ago) so its’ clear that “more homes” are on the way.

I mentioned this the other day to a friend, and he replied with “yeah, it’s great we have more apartments, but that won’t help buyers in the market who want to buy a single-family home!”

Not true!

The Housing Food Chain It’s easy and common for people to think that the “for sale” housing market and the “for rent” housing market are not related, but this simply is not true.

If we build “too many” apartment units, then rents will fall. As rental units become more affordable (more attractive), some people planning on buying will choose to rent, thus reducing the demand for homes on the “for sale” side of the market.

As demand falls, we’ll see the balance in the for sale side of the market shift towards buyers, thus slowing the appreciation rate that has made the purchase of homes so unaffordable over the past four years. We need more homes, and it looks like more are on the way!

The original one-page Weekly Special PDF is still available.

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