Weekly Special | November 30, 2020

Existing Home Values Approach New High

It took more than 13 years, but the average existing home value is finally approaching the high point achieved in June 2007.

Line chart of the 12-month average price per square foot of existing Tallahassee homes from 1992 to 2020, climbing back near the 2007 peak of about $130.

Based upon the current strong demand, buoyed by historic-low mortgage interest rates, and coupled with the extremely low supply of homes, I suspect we’ll be seeing that all-time high average existing home value before Spring is upon us.

The graph above plots the twelve-month trend of the average price per square foot of homes sold in Tallahassee. By plotting the twelve-month average, we remove all seasonality and see the true direction of the housing market.

Also, by focusing purely on existing home sales, we don’t see the wild fluctuations that can be caused by a bunch of new construction sales.

The yellow slivers in the graph shows that only 2007 home values were higher than our current level, and that was the peak of market 13 years ago.

It won’t be long until we soar above this level. The minimum wage will be rising 93% over the next five years, so barring a market collapse, values will go higher, faster than ever.

The original one-page Weekly Special PDF is still available.

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