Housing Market Impacted By Changes In Population Growth

I was recently asked about whether or not I expected a change in the demand side of the Tallahassee housing market, and I shared my concerns about several trends that would figure prominently.

While the supply-side of the market is hampered by the rising cost of construction and the limited supply of homes for sale in our most-needed price ranges, the demand side is most impacted by two different trends.

Tallahassee Population Growth Rate

The population growth rate has been falling in Tallahassee for many years. As a key driver of demand for housing, growth in Tallahassee pretty much comes through two different sources.

  1. Babies: When we have more people born here than die here in a year, it adds to our population. While this might not be something you think about often, it has lately been the primary source of our population growth.
  2. Migration: When more people move to Tallahassee than move away from Tallahassee, this net migration adds to our population. Of course, the opposite is true as well.

When we think of migration, we should think first of "jobs." Generally speaking, it's jobs that are going to bring more people to Tallahassee.

Keep Up With New Trends In Tallahassee!

Get The Tallahassee Real Estate Newsletter

Subscribe to the Tallahassee Real Estate Newsletter for updates on home sales in Tallahassee, FloridaDon't be the one that doesn't know what's going on when you sell a home or buy a home in Tallahassee.

Other buyers, sellers, lenders, and real estate agents have this critical information, and now you can too!

Get immediate access to our most recent newsletter.

Let more than 30 years of experience work for you with charts, graphs, and analysis of the Tallahassee housing market.

Population Growth And Politics

Is there a correlation between politics and population growth? The following graph plots the annual population rate change and the background colors show whether a Democrat or a Republican was in office each year.

Population Growth And Politics Is there a correlation between politics and population growth?

I'll be the first to admit that this is not necessarily scientifically sound, but I was curious to see if there was any type of correlation between the party in the Governor's office and the population growth rate in Tallahassee. Specifically, I was wondering if one party had a greater impact on our population growth than did the other.

The one clear trend that I can get from the graph above is that regardless of party, the population growth rate in Tallahassee is falling. 

Average Population Growth Rate In Tallahassee

The average population growth rate in Tallahassee since 1922 has been 2.85%. During the past 97 years, our population has grown at a rate of 3.3% when Democrats have held the Governor's office, and 1.8% when Republicans have held the office.

If we were to hold this a scientifically sound, we then would have to say that our population growth rate is typically 83% higher when Democrats hold office than when Republicans have the top seat.

I suspect there is some correlation here, but I don't have the support of a bunch of math-types to back me up. So if you have an opinion regarding the validity of our findings, please comment below or drop me a note and let me know what you think!

Video Answers To Your Questions

What are closing costs when buying a home?
What are closing costs when buying a home?
If you are planning to buy a home now, or in the next few months, there are some fees and expenses you’ll need to pay in addition to your down payment that you should know about. Other than your down payment, all money you spend when you buy a home are called “closing costs,” and you should know about them ahead of time. Even experienced buyers can be surprised at all the costs that are associated with buying a home today. This short video will cover what you need to know so that you can (one, be prepared,
What To Offer On A Home In A Sellers Market
What To Offer On A Home In A Sellers Market
We are experiencing the strongest seller's market on record, so you have to be prepared to make the right kind of offer if you want to buy a home today. And it's not all just about how much to offer, there is so much involved when making the "RIGHT" offer in a seller's market. I have shared my experience of selling thousands of homes in a seller's market, both with working for buyers and with working for sellers. I have shared 3 important home buying tips to enlighten you on what matters most to sellers so
What Is A Seller's Market In Real Estate?
What Is A Seller's Market In Real Estate?
You might have heard that we have a huge seller’s market right now in real estate. Do you know what that means? This real estate frequently asked question comes up from time to time when somebody is buying a home or selling a home. They want to know if its a buyer’s market or a seller’s market. Is now a good time to buy a home in the Tallahassee real estate market? I have prepared this short video to demonstrate the conditions that make this a seller’s market, and then we’ll show you the numbers and how we
How Much Margin For Negotiation Should I Include In My Asking Price?
How Much Margin For Negotiation Should I Include In My Asking Price?
I was recently asked "How much margin for negotiation should I include in my asking price?" This is a common question from experienced home sellers. They have sold homes in the past and understand the negotiation process involves a game of give and take, so doesn’t it make good sense to start with a little wiggle room in your price so that you can give it to the buyer to secure a sale? Here's what you should know. I explain EXACTLY how much margin for negotiation you should add to the price of your home t
How Long Does It Take To Sell A Home In 2020?
How Long Does It Take To Sell A Home In 2020?
How long does it take a home to sell in 2020? I've been asked this question a lot recently, and it made me realize a full explanation was in order. Why? Because if you understood how to sell a home for top dollar, you would know that it is a trick question. Trust me on this. Invest the few minutes it takes to watch the video and you'll have a better understanding of selling a home than do most people in the real estate industry (and I'll prove it!).
How Many Times Will A Home Seller Counter Offer?
How Many Times Will A Home Seller Counter Offer?
This real estate frequently asked question is from a recent home buyer. If you are about to buy a home in Tallahassee Florida or beyond and you’re trying to better understand how the real estate negotiation process will work, then understanding how to better control the negotiation is going to keep some of your hard-earned money in your pocket!
What Is A Swimming Pool Worth?
What Is A Swimming Pool Worth?
What Is A Swimming Pool Worth? Recently, a customer buying a home asked me a simple question. She inquired “how much does a pool add to the value of a home?” Pretty simple question, right? Well, by the end of this short video, you’ll know the not-so-simple answer (and why this is so important).
How Digital Has Changed How We Sell A Home Today
How Digital Has Changed How We Sell A Home Today
Time to sell a home? The digital age has had a huge impact on what homeowners must do to get top dollar when selling their home. In this video, Joe Manausa explains why and how things have changed, and then lays out the plan for what home sellers must do.
What Is Pre Marketing In Real Estate When Selling A Home?
What Is Pre Marketing In Real Estate When Selling A Home?
What is pre-marketing in real estate when selling a home? When your home hits the market and it "goes live," how many buyers will be standing in line to get in? Will it look like an Apple store on the day the new iPhone is released? If not, why not? ... it's all in the video ??????
How To Subscribe To The Joe Manausa Real Estate Channel On YouTube
How To Subscribe To The Joe Manausa Real Estate Channel On YouTube
Have you subscribed to the Joe Manausa Real Estate Channel on YouTube? It's a "must" for people who are planning to sell or buy a home in the near future. Just click subscribe to get started, and the bell icon, so that you never miss anything!
Who is responsible for determining the value of the home you want to buy?
Who is responsible for determining the value of the home you want to buy?
If you are planning on buying a home now, or within the next three to six months, you are going to have all sorts of questions pop up for which you’ll want answers. Among the most important of these will have to do with figuring out what a home is worth. As a matter of fact, I was recently asked this question “Who is primarily responsible for determining the market value of the home you want to buy?” Questions about valuation are very common from buyers of all experience levels because nobody wants to overp
Home Selling Tip: Don't Price Your Home On The 9s!
Home Selling Tip: Don't Price Your Home On The 9s!
One of the most important steps in your marketing strategy when selling a home is setting the initial asking price for the home. While I have discussed this in previous videos, today I’m going to discuss a technique that I refer to as pricing on the 9s. It works to reduce the buyer pool for the home seller and reduce’s the seller’s chances of getting top dollar for the home. It is a terrible tactic and works against the seller. If you watch this short video, you’ll understand exactly why it hurts home selle

Video Housing Market Reports

Is The Housing Market Too Hot To Sustain?
Is The Housing Market Too Hot To Sustain?
The real estate market September 2020 continues to be hot, despite no end in sight for the COVID-19 pandemic. I was wondering, "is the housing market too hot?" Is the current rate of sales sustainable? Are we seeing 2003 through 2006 conditions happening again? This housing market report starts with a look at the big picture, the US housing market, and then drills down to Tallahassee housing market, and finally to zip code level in the Tallahassee real estate market. Sit back, relax, grab a cold drink, and
Foreclosures 2020: The Coming Coronavirus Foreclosure Crisis
Foreclosures 2020: The Coming Coronavirus Foreclosure Crisis
Is there a foreclosure crisis or is it fake news? I’m seeing a lot of videos and articles about the impending doom of the housing market. A tsunami of foreclosures? Evictions by the millions? Home prices dropping by 40%! There are a lot of doomsayers getting a lot of attention these days. Wouldn’t it be interesting to take a fact-based look at the housing market instead? Sit back, relax, and watch our Housing Market 2020 Forecast, and you'll discover the real deal about the impending foreclosure crisis in
September 2020 Housing Market Report Using Quartiles
September 2020 Housing Market Report Using Quartiles
Our early September 2020 housing market report quartiles home prices in the real estate market through last month. What’s a quartile you say? A quartile housing report is like a median housing report on steroids, it gives you 3 times the information about what people are spending on homes. If you are new to reports using quartiles, stick around to the end of this short video and you’ll see how we glean quality information using the quartile function. Sit back, relax, kick your feet up, and prepare for a dif
The Difference Between New Home Sales And Existing Home Sales
The Difference Between New Home Sales And Existing Home Sales
The Tallahassee real estate market continues to suffer from a decimated inventory that forces multiple buyers into bidding wars over each new listing that hits the market. Hands down, bar none, this is the best time to sell a home that I’ve ever seen in my near 30 years experience selling homes in Tallahassee. There simply are not enough homes for sale for our normal market demand. That’s right. Demand is not the highest I’ve ever seen, but supply is the lowest on record. The reduced supply of homes is due
Housing Market August 2020 Update
Housing Market August 2020 Update
This video provides an analysis of the Tallahassee real estate market in early August of 2020. If you own a home in Tallahassee, this will give you insight into how your largest asset is doing and let you know where you stand if you would like to move now or in the near future. If you do not live in Tallahassee, this report is likely to reveal market conditions very similar to your own, though the price-points might be higher or lower.
The Difference Between New Home Sales And Existing Home Sales
The Difference Between New Home Sales And Existing Home Sales
The Tallahassee real estate market continues to suffer from a decimated inventory that forces multiple buyers into bidding wars over each new listing that hits the market. Hands down, bar none, this is the best time to sell a home that I’ve ever seen in my near 30 years experience selling homes in Tallahassee. There simply are not enough homes for sale for our normal market demand. That’s right. Demand is not the highest I’ve ever seen, but supply is the lowest on record. The reduced supply of homes is due
Pending Home Sales Report August 2020
Pending Home Sales Report August 2020
The Pending Home Sales is a leading indicator for the housing market, based on pending sales of existing homes. A sale is listed as pending when the contract has been signed but the transaction has not closed, though the sale usually is finalized within one or two months of signing. Most housing market analyses identify home sales after they close, but a study of pending home sales give us real estate market information nearly two full months earlier than do closed sales reports. The August pending home sal
Luxury Homes Market Report July 2020
Luxury Homes Market Report July 2020
If you are selling your Tallahassee luxury home in the next 3-6 months, you naturally may be asking yourself if this is a good time to sell due to COVID-19. This is one of the most common questions I’m getting from friends and clients right now. If you’re going to sell, you obviously want to sell for every dollar you can get. So is it possible to sell a luxury home in Tallahassee for top dollar right now?
July 2020 Housing Market Report
July 2020 Housing Market Report
The Housing Market July 2020 Report is a comprehensive analysis of the Tallahassee real estate market at the half-way point in 2020. If you own a home in Tallahassee, this will give you insight into how your largest asset is doing and let you know where you stand if you would like to move now or in the near future. If you do not live in Tallahassee, this report is likely to reveal market conditions very similar to your own, though the price-points might be higher or lower.
3 Market Forces Helping Home Sellers
3 Market Forces Helping Home Sellers
Where Have All The Houses Gone?
Where Have All The Houses Gone?

Your Local Expert In Tallahassee

When moving to, in, or from Tallahassee, you will fare better if you work with a local expert. We are here to help. If you have further questions on the Tallahassee real estate market, you can leave a comment below, give us a call at (850) 366-8917, or drop us a note and we'll give you the local information needed to ensure a successful, smooth transaction.

As a local born and raised in Tallahassee with a focus on customer service, I promise you'll find great success when working with Joe Manausa Real Estate, just as have our past customers. You can read thousands of their reviews reported on Google, Facebook and Zillow right here: Real Estate Agent Reviews Tallahassee.

The digital marketing guide for small businessesHave you heard about my new book "The Business of Getting Business?" It's a comprehensive guide for small businesses to help them make the move to digital. For those of us who want to survive and thrive in a world where large corporations are taking over, it is a must-read. It's also the perfect guide for how to sell a home in the digital age. You can find The Business Of Getting Business by clicking on any of the trusted retailers below.

Real Estate Agent reveals in Tallahassee, Florida

Think all REALTORS are alike?

Read what people are saying about working with Joe Manausa Real Estate! You can see thousands of real customer reviews reported on Google, Facebook and Zillow at this link: CLICK HERE FOR REAL ESTATE AGENT REVIEWS.

Post a Comment

(850) 378-5727