Supply And Demand Still Rule The Day In Real Estate

Posted by Joe Manausa on Tuesday, December 9th, 2008 at 9:16am.

There are so many distractions that can lure us away from our study of the real estate market and finding the direction of the market. With inaccurate reporting, hype, and media blitzing, it is a wonder anyone really knows what's going on at all.

But don't worry, it really isn't that hard to tell where the real estate market is heading. All we need to do is take a quick re-examination of Economics 101 and realize that Tallahassee real estate supply and demand actually does matter in the Tallahassee real estate market.

Real Estate Supply and Demand

The real estate market operates under the same pressures and forces that guide the rest of the markets. The Law of Supply and Demand dictates that prices are pressured towards an equilibrium point (as we see in our graphic above) that is defined by the intersection of the supply curve and the demand curve. So what does this graphic tell us?

  • If Demand increases, then producers can raise prices (builders and home owners)
  • If Demand decreases, then inventories build (Supply increases)
  • If Supply increases, producers must do something to increase demand (and/or stop producing)

Tallahassee Home Inventories Are Too High

Basically, the above "Law" and the subsequent bullet points are a snapshot history of what has occurred in the Tallahassee real estate market. Demand increased, due to many factors. Producers (home builders and developers) increased production to meet the demand. In 2006, producers did not notice the rapidly cooling market (decreased demand) and thus inventories started building. Now, builders are building less and the supply is coming down. Hopefully, with new lower interest rates, we can consume the inventory back down towards Market Equilibrium.

Normal Months Of Supply of Homes Is 6 Months

Most housing markets view market equilibrium when supply hits 5 to 7 months worth of homes. If the inventory level drops below 5 months of supply, we refer to this as a "Sellers Market." If inventories build to 7 months and beyond, we refer to this as a "Buyers Market." As you might have figured out, the Tallahassee real estate market is definitely a Buyers' market with 13.1 months of supply of homes.

Joe Manausa, MBA is a 27 year veteran of real estate brokerage in Tallahassee, Florida and has owned and managed his own company since 1992. He is a daily blogger with content that focuses on real estate analytics and providing his clients with a tactical advantage in today's challenging market.

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